euro

Europe debt contagion: we’re all connected

Posted in contagion, debt contagion, euro on January 29th, 2012 by Paul Deng – Be the first to comment

Some fantastic charts from NYT showing how interconnected our financial systems are. Hat tip to Blake LeBaron at Brandeis.

euro we are all connected 600x498 Europe debt contagion:  were all connected

(click on the image for some really nice network charts)

 

For the interconnection between Europe and emerging markets, please read my earlier post here.

 

The financial linkage between Europe and emerging markets

Posted in debt contagion, euro on January 10th, 2012 by Paul Deng – Be the first to comment

The following graph will offer you some clue:

25  400x300 euro impact on emerging markets The financial linkage between Europe and emerging markets

Link to the article at the BIS.

 

 

 

A Documentary on European Crisis

Posted in debt contagion, debt crisis, euro on January 5th, 2012 by Paul Deng – Be the first to comment

WSJ crew came out a nice documentary on European crisis – something to put in your archive.

How Chinese view Europe

Posted in China, debt crisis, euro on January 3rd, 2012 by Paul Deng – Be the first to comment

Interview of Jin Liqun, Chairman of China’s Investment Corp. (or CIC), China’s sovereign wealth fund, with $460 billion assets under management.

Jin offers his views toward Europe and her economic and political systems. He also explains why CIC is unlikely to inject large rescue investments as per European leaders’ request. I’d say Jin’s views toward Europe is quite typical in China.

Starting from 12″10′ in the video interview, Jin had some really strong (yet painfully true) comments toward European welfare system.

ECB’s liquidity injection: game changer, or not?

Posted in euro on December 30th, 2011 by Paul Deng – Be the first to comment

According to WSJ, the ECB last week rushed out emergency support for the euro-zone banking system, laying out an unprecedented €489 billion at its first-ever three-year lending operation.

The amount of money parked by euro-zone banks in the ECB’s 0.25% deposit facility surged to another new record of €452.03 billion Tuesday (Dec.27) , up from €411.81 billion over the Christmas break and well above the previous record high of €384 billion.  News that euro-zone banks are parking more and more cash at the ECB’s low-yielding, but safe, deposit facilities adds to evidence that banks are more concerned with seeing out the year in safety than with putting it to work in the real economy or the euro-zone debt markets.

 

Watch this interview of Bob Mundell -  he thinks this is the game changer, a blockbuster event.

 

Dennis Gartman seriously doubted it. In his recent investment newsletter, Gartman describes how Europe has arrived at its own “Lehman moment.”

The problem in Europe is that we’ve arrived at Europe’s own “Lehman-moment” when banks and institutions are wholly unwilling to lend money to anyone, anywhere. They are willing to draw down their lines of credit from the ECB, but they are re-depositing those borrowings back to the ECB itself. Initially we thought this reasonable. Initially we thought that the banks drew down their lines from the Central Bank and re-deposited them with the Bank awaiting investment elsewhere. We thought this normal. Now, however, we consider it disconcerting for it shows the utter sense of confusion and the even more utter sense of fear that has engulfed the banking system in Europe. Rather than viewing these new credit lines from the ECB as a source of funding for investment, the banks in Europe are viewing those ECB-created funds as a source of “fear capital” to be used should worst-come to-worse on the continent. Fear rather than optimism is driving the banking system.

We fear then that worse is about to happen, for the very core of things banking and economic depend upon trust and trust is now wholly lacking in Europe.