Archive for April, 2008

Bagehot’s lesson for the Fed

Posted in Uncategorized on April 29th, 2008 by Paul Deng – Be the first to comment
McKinnon of Stanford makes a good case for the Fed to raise interest rate.
 
 

Why the oil price is so high?

Posted in Uncategorized on April 29th, 2008 by Paul Deng – Be the first to comment

It's the falling dollar, stupid!

ED AH420 1money 20080427210411 Why the oil price is so high?

The smartest guys in the room: Where’s the economy going?

Posted in Uncategorized on April 28th, 2008 by Paul Deng – 1 Comment
 
 

A solution to counterparty risk

Posted in Uncategorized on April 27th, 2008 by Paul Deng – Be the first to comment
Wall street is working on a new mechanism to reduce the couterparty risk (illustrated by graph below), reported by WSJ.
MI AQ057 CDS 20080423183215 A solution to counterparty risk

Peter Bernstein is worried

Posted in Uncategorized on April 26th, 2008 by Paul Deng – Be the first to comment
Peter Bernstein WSJ interview.  He thinks the current crisis will last longer than most people thought.

WSJ: How long do you think this whole process will take, before we get back to normal?

Mr. Bernstein: Longer than people think. The people who think we will have turned in 2009 are wrong. There has to be a respite along the way. Nothing goes in one direction forever. But it will take longer than people think. If that weren't the case, I would be talking entirely differently. I would be saying, "What an opportunity we have got." And I just can't believe that the opportunity is here yet. There is too much to unwind.